Monday, May 21, 2012

The fundamentals of: Cause(s) → Effect(s) → $ → Election Dynamics → Congratulations Mr. President

The fundamentals of:

Cause(s) Effect(s) → $ → Election Dynamics → Congratulations Mr. President



Cause "Indie" Individual Personality Dimensions

1.Tradition, history, family, church (N)
2.Political and social agendas (M)
3.Track record (H)
4.Age demographics (H)
5.Profession / vocation (H)
6.Location (L)
7.Health (M)
8.Minority and immigiration (H)
9.Labor statistics - unemployment (volunteers-time-$)
NOTES: The dimensions will have weights:
L (Low). M (Medium) and H (High)
Numbered weights, independent, dependent, time dependent

Cause E  External Influence

1.Terrorism, war, defense expenditure and policy (H)
2.Economic Climate (Jobs / Unemployment) (H)
3.R&D (L/N) Investments
4.Journalists / Media (H+) Influnce Voters and Donors
5.Social institutions (H) – Churches, Special Interest Groups
6.Export/Import -> Jobs (H)
7.Environmental policy, Go green initiatives (M/H)
8.Energy policy and security (M)
9.Natural disasters (M/L)
NOTES: The dimensions will have weights:
L (Low). M (Medium) and H (High)
Numbered weights, independent, dependent, time dependent


Cause ---> Effect Analysis
1.Weighted parameters in an equation f (WnPm)
2.Can eventually correlate different parameters w/ each other. - Inter and auto correlation
3.Representation in the form of Venn diagrams
4.Venn diagrams - For example for Venn Intersections
5.Opinions / beliefs of individuals versus candidate
6."Aggregate" opinion could be used by media, candidate, party etc.
7.Reciprocally media, candidate and party messages and statements influence individuals and certain societal groups.

Methodology
1.Fishbone Diagram – Cause(s) --> Effect(s)
2.Multi Dimensional Chart - Influences between personality dimensions and correlations / synergy with candidate
3.Venn Diagram for analysis and visualization
4.Scenario Analysis - What is the effect if one or more parameters change?
5.Fish Eye Visualization - User can zoom in to any one cause and see the different effects
6. Cluster Analysis and Visualization
7. Mind Map Analysis and Visualization
8. Heat Map visualization
9. Zoom and Drill down

Big Data Methodologies
Data sources: Social Media and Networks like Face book and twitter
ÒBig Data Storage
ÒMap and Reduce Methodologies
ÒPlatforms - hadoop, mongodb, cassandra etc.
ÒBusiness intelligence -Microstrategy, jaspersoft etc
ÒVisualization - microstrategy etc.
ÒData Science - R and other SAS based daata science packages


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